Yaniv Mordecai
Technion – Israel Institute of Technology
Faculty of Industrial Engineering & Management
Abstract:
System disruption is any introduction of deviation from the nominal behavior, function, or structure applied to, in, or by a system. Disruptions can have both advantageous and adverse impacts. System evolution, interoperability, and autonomy, for instance, are generally advantageous, while risk, uncertainty and complexity are generally adverse. No system acts in a disruption-free environment, and no system can survive without being sufficiently ready for likely disruptions.
Conceptual models of phenomena and systems play a central role in science and engineering, as they enable us to describe and analyze complex natural and artificial systems. Conceptual modeling is significant in situations and contexts of high or extreme variability and complexity. The primary informative power of a model stems from its ability to express and clarify non-trivial information about the system it relates to. However, conventional conceptual modeling frameworks fail to accommodate the specification of disruptive, unordinary, irregular exceptional, anomalous, variant, or stochastic aspects as part of and in sync with the core system model. This deficiency is often due to the inability of the conceptual modeling framework to accommodate disruptive factors. Consequently, disruptions are sometimes described with dedicated conceptual models with ad-hoc syntax, semantics, and ontology. The result is not only loss of information, insight, and potential for understanding of the system in its entirety, but also inconsistency, contradiction, and troubling model maintenance and coordination issues. As a result of this discrepancy, nominal conceptual models fail to provide sufficient informative value to system and model stakeholders, while disruption-centric models, such as risk or failure models, are detached from the core system model. As the system evolves, extraneous models of this nature require constant maintenance and adjustments to the core nominal model and are therefore often neglected or abandoned.
This doctoral thesis proposes a Model-Based Robust Systems Engineering framework, MBROSE, which caters and applies to both the nominal and disruptive factors of complex systems, their models, and the system engineering process. MBROSE is founded on Object Process Methodology, OPM – a holistic conceptual modeling paradigm for multidisciplinary, complex, and dynamic systems and processes. OPM is ISO 19450 standard, and a state-of-the-art conceptual modeling and model-based systems engineering methodology.
MBROSE consists of two primary modules. The first module is a mechanism for model informative value analysis and quantification, which defines how information is generated by and gained from conceptual models. The second module is a catalogue of modeling and design patterns that cater to a host of disruptions, disruptive factors, and disruptive impacts. The introduction of a wide variety of disruption kinds into conventional models using the proposed patterns is shown to elevate the informative power of conceptual models of systems in a variety of domains, including nuclear reactors, aerospace and defense, and information technology. The value that readers and users can gain from MBROSE is therefore double: (1) MBROSE enables the construction of rich, disruption-informed conceptual models of complex systems, and (2) MBROSE provides the analytical framework to evaluate the contribution of disruption-aware modeling to the informative power of the model. These benefits of MBROSE potentially have a positive impact on the whole model-based systems engineering process, and eventually, on the quality, robustness, and stability of the engineered system.
Yaniv Mordecai is a Ph.D. candidate in systems engineering at the Technion – Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa, Israel, under the advisorship of Prof. Dov Dori. He holds M.Sc. (2010, cum laude) and B.Sc. (2002) degrees in industrial engineering from Tel-Aviv University, Tel-Aviv, Israel. His research interests include cybernetics, model-based systems engineering, risk analysis, decision analysis, interoperable systems, operations research, business intelligence, and computational geometry. He is a proficient and active systems engineer, with expertise in aerospace and defense, information technology, command and control, and avionics systems. During his doctoral studies he has published more than 10 refereed publications including 6 IEEE conf. papers, and won more than 10 awards from IEEE, Society for Risk Analysis, and Israel Ministry of Science and Technology. He has reviewed manuscripts for the IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics journal, INCOSE Systems Engineering journal, and Springer.